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Projects

Chesapeake Bay Vibrio Pathogen Forecast

We forecast where and when pathogens are most likely to be found in the Chesapeake Bay, based on the salinity and temperature of the water. Public health officials use our ...
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Marine Spatial Ecology, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, Chesapeake Bay, Waterbodies, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

Ecological Assessment to Support NOAA’s Choptank C...

We synthesized biological, chemical, and physical data from six watersheds in the Chesapeake Bay to assess impacts of land use on aquatic ecosystem health. The findings from this study are ...
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Coastal Change, Ecological and Biogeographic Assessments, Marine Spatial Ecology, Vulnerability and Risk Assessment, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, U.S. States and Territories, Waterbodies, ak.leight@noaa.gov, john.jacobs@noaa.gov, mark.monaco@noaa.gov

Estimating the Economic Burden of Vibrio parahaemo...

Illnesses caused by Vibrio parahaemolyticus are an economic burden to the oyster industry. We’re estimating the economic burden in the oyster production chain in Washington State. Results will: help contextualize ...
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Ecosystem Services Valuation, Pathogens, Social Science, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, U.S. States and Territories, Washington, Amy.Freitag@noaa.gov, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

Land Use and Ecosystem Health: Decision-making Too...

We are studying how land-use decisions affect the health of an area’s ecosystem. We are building models that show the consequences of land-use choices on the Chesapeake Bay health and ...
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Assessing Human Use, Biological Effects of Contaminants and Nutrients, Social Science, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, Chesapeake Bay, Delaware, Maryland, U.S. States and Territories, Virginia, Waterbodies, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

News

NOAA Forecast Predicts Occurrence of Pathogenic Vi...

Vibrio vulnificus model results for Chesapeake Bay, June 10, 2021. Credit: NOAA NCCOS. NOAA produces an operational forecast that shows public health officials in Maryland and Virginia when and where ...
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Pathogens, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, U.S. States and Territories, Virginia, Waterbodies, Ava.Ellett@noaa.gov, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

NCCOS Vibrio Predictive Models (Story Map)

ESRI Story Map on Vibrio Predictive Models. Credit G. Messick, NOAA A story map has been created to describe the different Vibrio Predictive Models produced by NCCOS. These predictive models ...
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Pathogens, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, Alabama, Chesapeake Bay, Delaware, Florida, Gulf of Mexico, Long Island Sound, Maryland, New York, Puget Sound, U.S. States and Territories, Washington, Waterbodies, gretchen.messick@noaa.gov, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

NCCOS Forecast Predicts Occurrence of Pathogenic V...

Vibrio vulnificus model results for Chesapeake Bay, June 17, 2020. Credit: NOAA. In 2019, NOAA released a new forecast capability which shows public health officials in Maryland and Virginia when ...
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Pathogens, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, U.S. States and Territories, Virginia, Waterbodies, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

New Forecast Predicts Occurrence of Pathogenic Vib...

Vibrio vulnificus model results for Chesapeake Bay, May 23, 2019. Credit: NOAA. A new NOAA forecast shows public health officials in Maryland and Virginia when and where the pathogenic Vibrio ...
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Pathogens, Stressor Impacts and Mitigation, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, U.S. States and Territories, Virginia, Waterbodies, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

Webinar Provides Shellfish Managers with Vibrio Ri...

At the request of stakeholders in the Northeast U.S., NCCOS and the National Weather Service Ocean Prediction Center hosted a webinar last month to demonstrate the suite of modeled guidance ...
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Other Topics, john.jacobs@noaa.gov

Products

Maps, Tools & Applications

Vibrio Predictive Models

The Vibrio Predictive Models combine state of the art hydrodynamic models with specific algorithms for Vibrio, to provide early warning of these potential coastal hazards. Knowing where and when to expect elevated concentrations of Vibrio, and environmental conditions that promote rapid growth can inform both management and individual grower harvest decision making in the shellfish industry.
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Data & Publications

Advancing Tools for Modeling, Forecasting and Managing for Vibrio spp. in Washington State

The vast majority of Vibrio-related illnesses in Washington State are associated with a single species, Vibrio parahaemolyticus (Vp). The intent of this workshop was to bring together tribal and non-tribal industry representatives, Federal subject matter experts, State Shellfish Control Authorities, ...
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Coastal Ecological Assessment to Support NOAA’s Choptank River Complex Habitat Focus Area: Tred Avon River

In the Tred Avon River, an important tributary of the Choptank River, we assessed the impacts of land use on the health of the aquatic ecosystem in a 3-year field study (2015-2017). In our analysis of information collected during the ...
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Coastal ecosystem assessment of Chesapeake Bay watersheds: A story of three rivers, the Corsica, Magothy, and Rhode

This assessment explored linkages between land use and aquatic ecosystem health. Three watersheds (Corsica, Magothy, and Rhode rivers) with variable dominant land-use patterns (agriculture, suburban/residential, and mixed-use, respectively) were examined. The health of each habitat was assessed using a suite ...
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Coastal Ecosystem Assessment of Chesapeake Bay Watersheds: Land Use Patterns and River Conditions

In coastal and estuarine regions, land use can have a profound impact on aquatic ecosystem health. In the Chesapeake Bay watershed, agriculture and urbanization have transformed major portions of the landscape, though some areas of undeveloped land remain. This document ...
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Linking the Abundance of Estuarine Fish and Crustaceans in Nearshore Waters to Shoreline Hardening and Land Cover

Human alteration of land cover (e.g., urban and agricultural land use) and shoreline hardening (e.g., bulkheading and rip rap revetment) are intensifying due to increasing human populations and sea level rise. Fishes and crustaceans that are ecologically and economically valuable ...
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National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Coastal Ecosystem Assessment Program: A Manual of Methods

The purpose of this manual is to provide a framework for the assessment of ecosystem health that may be adapted, or used in whole or part for application to other regions. Methods are provided for all aspects from sampling design ...
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NOAA Operational Forecast System-Related Guidance Products for Waterborne Pathogens in the Chesapeake Bay (NCEI Accession C01548)

The presence of Vibrio vulnificus (Vv), a naturally-occurring bacteria that can be harmful to human health, is related to temperature and salinity. Vv forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay based on Operational Forecast Systems (CBOFS) include daily and next day probability ...
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Skill assessment of NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model

Since 2012, NOAA has generated model guidance for the probability of occurrence of the harmful marine bacteria Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay. The system employs NOAAs Operational Forecast System for Chesapeake Bay (CBOFS) to force a statistical model developed by ...
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USGS/NOAA Workshop on Mycobacteriosis in Striped Bass, May 7-10, 2006, Annapolis, Maryland

As a Federal trust species, the well-being of the striped bass (Morone saxatilis) population along the Eastern Seaboard is of major concern to resource users. Striped bass are an extremely valuable commercial and recreational resource. As a principal piscivore in ...
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