Publication Details
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Predicted Impacts of Climate Change on the Success of Alternative Management Actions in the Chesapeake Bay: Using Multiple Community Models in Support of Hypoxia Management Decision-Making
Author(s): Friedrichs, Marjorie
NCCOS Center: CSCOR
Name of Publisher: Virginia Institute of Marine Science
Place of Publication: Gloucester Point, VA
Publication Type: Abstract
Date of Publication: 2016
Reference Information: CSCOR CHRP Project Summary
Extent of Work: 2 pp.
Keywords: hypoxia; Chesapeake Bay; climate change; nutrients; forecasting; water quality; modeling
Abstract: Coastal hypoxia is an increasingly critical stressor for living resources in the Chesapeake Bay, not only because of excess nutrient inputs derived from agriculture, sewage and storm water runoff, but also because of predicted increases in atmospheric temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns. Together, the combined effects of anthropogenic nutrient inputs and climate change are leading to one of society’s major environmental challenges. In order to address this problem, water quality assessment and projection tools that can account for both climate and nutrient impacts must be developed and operationalized. This project will apply a trans-disciplinary approach to aid in the development of sustainable solutions for managing nutrient reduction in the face of a changing climate. The two overarching goals of the proposed work are to quantitatively predict: (1) the impacts of future changes in climate and anthropogenic nutrient inputs on the spatial and temporal extent of hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay and (2) the impacts of climate change on the effectiveness of various alternative management actions designed to reduce hypoxia and improve water quality.
Availability: Available from NCCOS Publications Explorer and from the author.
Related Attachment: Download file (.pdf)
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