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Resource Manager Decisions May Benefit from Approaches to Address Uncertainties in Predictive Ecosystem Models

In order for ecological forecasts to become more widely utilized to support ecosystem approaches to management, coastal managers and stakeholders need to know the accuracy and uncertainty associated with these predictions.

The National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science sponsored the second of two workshops on March 6-9, 2007 to explore methods of quantifying uncertainties in coupled physical-biological models that managers can use in decision-making. A peer-reviewed publication to come out in 2008 in the Journal of Marine Systems, will outline various methods to quantify uncertainties, and show examples of their use as applied to models in focus areas of harmful algal blooms, ecosystem dynamics, fisheries, and water quality.

Related NCCOS Center(s):
Shorter web link for sharing: http://coastalscience.noaa.gov/news/?p=1244

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